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The answer to making thicker ice more quickly? Suck up near-freezing water from under the ice and pump it directly onto the ice’s surface during the long polar winter. There, the water would freeze more quickly than underneath the ice, where it usually forms.
In theory, Desch says, the pumps used for this top-down approach to ice growth could be driven by technology no more sophisticated than the windmills that have long provided water to farms and ranches on the Great Plains.
Desch and colleagues envision putting such pumps on millions of buoys throughout the Arctic. During winter, each pump would be capable of building an additional layer of sea ice up to 1 meter thick over an area of about 100,000 square meters, or about the size of 15 soccer fields, the researchers estimate in the January issue of Earth’s Future.
It won’t be easy. The Arctic’s harsh environment poses many problems such as frozen pipes. But many of those hitches are being addressed by engineers familiar with developing and maintaining Arctic infrastructure such as small-scale wind turbines and drinking-water systems, Desch says. To build and ship each ice-making buoy to the Arctic would cost about $50,000, he estimates. Over a decade, covering 10 percent of the Arctic Ocean with buoys would cost about $50 billion per year. “It’s a big project, but the point is, it’s not an impossible one,” he argues.
Now is the time to begin detailed designs and build prototypes, Desch says. The Arctic Ocean’s end-of-summer sea ice coverage has decreased, on average, more than 13 percent per decade since 1979. “There’ll be a time, 10 to 15 years from now, when Arctic sea ice will be accelerating to oblivion, and there’ll be political will to do something about climate change,” Desch says. “We need to have this figured out by the time people are ready to do something.”