Jupiter’s Great Red Spot may be less than 200 years old

Historical and recent data suggest the Spot is distinct from one viewed in the 1600s and 1700s

Jupiter’s Great Red Spot, seen in this color-enhanced image from NASA’s Juno spacecraft, is a morass of clouds wider than Earth that has been swirling for hundreds of years.

JPL-Caltech/NASA, SwRI, MSSS, Gerald Eichstädt, Seán Doran

By Carolyn Wilke

2 hours ago

Jupiter’s signature feature — its Great Red Spot — might not be the same dark spot seen on the giant planet more than three centuries ago.

From 1665 to 1713, astronomer Giovanni Domenico Cassini and others observed a dark oval — nicknamed the Permanent Spot — on Jupiter at the same latitude where the Great Red Spot now swirls. Researchers today have wondered whether these spots are one and the same.

An analysis of sketches and photographs of Jupiter spanning nearly 360 years suggests the spots are distinct, researchers report in the June 28 Geophysical Research Letters. Computer simulations from the same study also hint at the Great Red Spot’s origin, indicating a disruption in the wind between opposing jet streams may have kick-started the planet’s giant, ruddy storm.

The Great Red Spot is our solar system’s largest vortex (SN: 12/12/17). Located in Jupiter’s Southern Hemisphere, the windstorm’s gusts exceed 600 kilometers per hour. But it’s not clear how far back in time this spot goes and what got it spinning.

Luckily, some planet observers of the past sketched what they saw through their telescopes. “It was very exciting to see in old articles and books the descriptions of the observations and drawings that astronomers made with great precision,” says Agustín Sánchez‐Lavega, an astronomer and planetary scientist at the University of the Basque Country in Bilbao, Spain.

Sánchez‐Lavega and his colleagues dug through records on the spots. Starting in 1713, reports of Jupiter bear no signs of the Permanent Spot. Then, in 1831 and the following decades, drawings show a spot resembling the Great Red Spot — a clear oval that became red-tinted.

Jupiter through the years

Box caption: For centuries, astronomers have observed Jupiter and its features. In the late 1600s and early 1700s, astronomer Giovanni Domenico Cassini and others observed a dark oval that became known as the Permanent Spot. But starting in 1713, reports of Jupiter lacked signs of that spot. Then, in 1831, sketches of the gas giant showed a feature at the same latitude — the Great Red Spot. Researchers today have sifted through the old images, some shown below, concluding that the spots are distinct.

Astronomer Giovanni Cassini drew this image of Jupiter, which shows the Permanent Spot, in July 1677. G.D. Cassini
This 1711 painting by Donato Creti depicts Jupiter in the night sky. The Permanent Spot is tinted red, perhaps because of a tip-off from astronomers who observed the planet. Donato Creti, courtesy Vatican Museums
About 20 years after it first appears in drawings of Jupiter, this sketch from May 1851 shows the Great Red Spot as a large oval (outer edge traced in a dotted red line). S. Swabe. Acknowledgements: ©UPV-EHU/UPC
In the first photo of Jupiter, taken in 1879, the Great Red Spot appears as a large dark ellipse. A.A. Common. Acknowledgements: ©UPV-EHU/UPC
In this drawing from November 1881, the Great Red Spot is fringed by a clear oval. This whitish area, still visible surrounding the Great Red Spot, is called the hollow. T.G. Elger
In this photo of Jupiter taken in 1890 at the Lick Observatory in California, the color-enhanced Great Red Spot is larger than it is today. Lick Observatory. Acknowledgements: BDIP-Observatoire Paris

Measurements of the Permanent Spot from drawings suggest that it was about one-third to one-half as wide as the Great Red Spot as photographed in 1879, which at the time was about three times the width of Earth. The Permanent Spot’s absence in the record for 118 years and its small size suggest it may have vanished before the Great Red Spot emerged, the researchers conclude.

“That’s very compelling, and they’ve done a really good job,” says Timothy Dowling, a planetary scientist at the University of Louisville in Kentucky.

But it still isn’t clear how Jupiter’s iconic storm came to be. Sánchez‐Lavega’s team ran computer simulations of Jupiter’s atmosphere to investigate three possibilities: a merger of swirling areas, the aftermath of a giant thunderstorm or a disturbance between opposing jet streams.

To produce a spot the size of the early Great Red Spot requires the consolidation of vortices that are themselves as large as the Red Spot was back then. This is unlikely, the team reports, as such features would have been spotted. Meanwhile, simulations of a giant thunderstorm failed to produce a spot as large as the early Great Red Spot.

But an area of rotation could have formed at this latitude between a jet stream moving westward and one moving east (SN: 11/3/23). A pressure disturbance could have caused the wind to do a U-turn at its ends, creating a flow that curved from north to south at one end and south to north at the other. This spinning region could have acted as precursor to the Great Red Spot, Sánchez‐Lavega says.

But the simulations used to study the giant windstorm’s formation don’t include thunderstorm activity, which is important to how the Great Red Spot maintains itself, Dowling says. A ring of thunderstorms forms around the planet at this latitude and eventually the storms get sucked into — and essentially feed — the Great Red Spot, he says. The Great Red Spot may help seed these storms — it’s so big that it obstructs the flow of gas around the planet at this latitude, creating a low-pressure region ripe for thunderstorm formation. “It’s in a global system.”

The Great Red Spot has been shrinking since it was spotted in the 1800s. It’s currently 1.1 times as wide as Earth —about the size of the long-lost Permanent Spot. And it may share that spot’s fate, Dowling says. A shriveling spot may not be able to fuel enough thunderstorm activity to sustain itself. “There are some people who are alive right now — some younger kids — that may see the end of this one.”